Cundill Deep Value

Cundill Deep Value

Deep Value Report — Goodyear Tire & Rubber ($GT)

Hidden Value in plain sight

FRAGMENTS's avatar
FRAGMENTS
Jun 04, 2026
∙ Paid

What GT really is, and why the stock got hit

Goodyear still makes tires.

The factories did not disappear. The brand is still there. So are the replacement channels, the OE relationships, the commercial tire exposure, the retreading and service network, the inventory, the receivables, the trademarks, and the global manufacturing footprint.

What disappeared was trust.

Not trust in the name. The name still means something.

The market lost trust in the cash flow.

At roughly $6 per share, Goodyear trades at a public equity value of about $1.7 billion. That is a strange number beside roughly $3.0 billion of common equity, about $8 per share of tangible book, more than $7.6 billion of current assets, and a manufacturing system that would cost far more than the current market cap to rebuild.

The stock is not here because the market cannot read a balance sheet.

It is here because the market does not trust that balance sheet value to reach the common shareholder.

That is what makes GT interesting.

The company has real assets. It has already sold real assets. OTR, Dunlop and Chemical were not theoretical value. Buyers paid real money for them. The portfolio is cleaner today than it was before.

But the market is still asking a harder question.

After the debt, the working capital, the raw materials, the restructuring cash, and the weak Americas replacement volume, how much of that value actually belongs to the common shareholder?

That is the real deep value setup.

Goodyear does not need to become a perfect company for the stock to work from here. It needs the remaining business to turn assets into cash again.

If Americas stabilizes, if working capital releases cash, if capex stays controlled after the asset sales, and if net debt starts falling, the current quote may be too harsh.

If that cash does not come back, the assets stay trapped.

That is the tension inside GT.

A real tire company.
Real assets.
A skeptical market.
A cleaner portfolio.
A common stock that only works if the cash flow starts proving the assets still matter.

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